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Big Brother 26 Thoughts

O

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The vibe today is strange.

The conversations are almost like there's been a rewind. Conversations about Matt, Lisa, Kenney, and Cedric.

And then on the other side, Rubina and Kimo are looping over conversations about Tucker. That's not necessarily new, but it is somewhat different with Tucker no longer in the house.
 
O

One

Active member
Leah won the Power of Veto.

Strategically, if the goal had been to put the biggest dent in the trio of Kimo, Rubina, and T'kor, the "direct" move would be to take out T'kor, as she's the one who's closer to both Kimo and Rubina than they are to each other, and she's already shown that she can win HOH. That's ignoring looking too far into the future of her as a final two threat, which she is projected to be, and the currently unknown information (to Quinn) that she would absolutely put him on the block if she won HOH again. It's unlikely that it happens. Quinn wants to maximize his options around the house, and salvage what he can with whoever is likely to stay. And T'kor does have other relationships in the house, so he'd have to check with those first. And on the flipside, you could also be creating two more perpetual pawns in Kimo and Rubina, that others might eventually be tempted to take to the end. Just need T'kor to keep her cool for the next couple days, and not tell the wrong person her true feelings.


Something I forgot to mention earlier was that Quinn and Leah had a long talk last night/early this morning.

Quinn was basically telling her how much he wanted to work with her, and that he wanted her to be the Britney Haynes (her favorite player) to his Lane/Brigade only this time she wouldn't be a 5th member, she would be an integral part of what's happening in the game. They talked about Tucker, blaming him for their problems, they talked about Kimo, who Leah felt personally offended by after Quinn told her he was adamant in wanting her to go up last week as T'kor's replacement nominee. An interesting part of that conversation though, was that Leah still sounded skeptical of Chelsie, and told Quinn that she thinks Chelsie and Cam might have a secret showmance, because Chelsie was upset earlier and said that Cam was being mean to her. Quinn called it interesting. So Quinn now being aware of that, I wonder if he'll approach it the same way that he approached the Rubina and Tucker pairing, by enabling it with the two, making comments and jokes about it. And if so, what could the consequences of that, if any? It's a seed. It may be that nothing comes of it. But we'll see.

Lastly, a couple of the houseguests, including Chelsie and Leah have basically been throwing all the negative things that have been attached to them in the past several weeks onto Tucker, but the behaviors haven't gone away, so it's only a matter of time before some of these conflicts re-ignite.
 
O

One

Active member
Quick recap

The three main pillars of the past week as far as players go were Chelsie, Leah, and T'kor. Chelsie having her group, Makensy and Cam; Leah having Quinn, Joseph, and Angela; and T'kor having Kimo and Rubina.

Earlier in the week, I guess Chelsie was still riding the high of getting Tucker out because she was definitely going a little further than usual with the trash talk, and it was more out in the open than usual. That calmed down somewhat as the week winded down. She's still not as careful as she was in the early game, she's more comfortable now, but she's handling it well enough, and the others don't seem to be in any rush to try to catch her in anything. Another potential issue was that, earlier in the week, she was starting to get a little loose with the Cam stuff. Which again, I partially attributed to her being on the high of successfully getting Tucker out. That took an emotional downturn later in the week when she started to notice Cam with Makensy. She ended up having a long conversation with T'kor about the situation, where she acknowledged the impact it could have on her game if she allowed it to, which she said she wouldn't. At this point it's kind of intertwined with her game regardless, but it's good to see that she's at least aware. She's been the most dangerous player in this game when she's had her full attention on it. Selfishly as a viewer, I want more game and less distraction for her, unless she can figure out how to use that distraction to her advantage.

Leah pulled a cold blooded move this past week. Stayed in the HOH room with Quinn until almost 7 in the morning, on the day of the veto meeting. Watched Quinn almost burst into tears about even the thought of her going home, then watched him get the dreamy eyes talking to her, let him plead to her about why he didn't want her to use the power of veto on Angela, told him that he had successfully convinced her not to use it, and then the veto meeting came, and she decides... to use the veto on Angela. Cold blooded. Funny, but cold.

Aside from all that, something that was good to see this past week was Rubina's more assertive personality start to show itself. A lot of her game in past weeks has been spent on uncertainty about her position in the game, and conversations revolving around Tucker. She's been talking for a while now about how her personality in the game hadn't been an accurate reflection of how she is in real life. I think this week we've finally started to see some of that personality emerge, as well as more of Rubina the player.
 
O

One

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Chelsie is the HOH. Makensy won the power of veto.

The game is in flux

There are a few things at the moment that aren't making much sense to me, but there are still conversations to be had this week, and things are subject to change. If things stay as is, with Kimo as the target over Angela, then Chelsie will have used her HOH week to open up a path for Quinn and Leah, and a larger one for Makensy.
 
O

One

Active member
Makensy used the power of veto. Chelsie put up Quinn.

That's more like it.

It's not that she didn't put him up in the first place. There's the backdoor option for that. It was the reluctance to put him up at all, even after telling T'kor that she believed her biggest threats in the game were Leah and Quinn. She wanted to give him a week because he "protected" her last week. What? He's playing the game. Play the game.
 
O

One

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And Leah won HOH.

Apparently it was an endurance comp that lasted around 10 hours. Everyone's living outside for the week, BB24 Dyre Fest style.

It's an eerie vibe out there.

Leah being HOH makes for a lot of uncertainty.

Her nominees are Rubina and Kimo.

The bigger points of interest however are those who are not on the block right now, and whether or not there are any backdoor options on the horizon.
T'kor and Rubina talked last night about some pacts that were made late in the HOH competition.
Cam and Angela were two names that seem to have gotten deals from Leah. Which would leave Makensy, T'kor, and Chelsie as the renom options, depending on the extent of those deals.

So let's run through the renom scenarios

Last week, there was a long conversation between Leah and Angela about backdooring Chelsie, where Leah said she would put Chelsie next to someone that everyone loves, like T'kor. Leah also had a conversation with Quinn where she said that she would hold her tongue and bide her time until she had the opportunity to take a shot. However, afterward, Leah and Chelsie had a long conversation going over the events of the week.
If I were in Chelsie's position, would I assume that everything was fine after that conversation? No.
But on the flip side, it's Leah, so who knows. It could very well be, but I just wouldn't assume that it was.

The veto players were just selected, and if there is a backdoor option against Chelsie, it's looking rough.

The players selected were T'kor, Angela, and Chelsie, which would basically make it 5v1.
Either nominee would take themselves down if they won.
T'kor would very likely take one of them down.
Angela would likely take one of them down. Especially if she's in on a backdoor plan. She'd probably take down Kimo.
And in this scenario, Leah would take one of them down.
In any of those scenarios, that's T'kor plus the nominee who was taken down as two votes, with Angela as the third deciding vote.

What would be working in Chelsie's favor is that she does have allies. Cam being one, and Makensy more or less being another if she holds firm.
So there's a world where Leah thinks that backdooring Chelsie might be a short term gain but a long term loss, and is deterred from it.
But there's also a world where Leah sees herself being vulnerable either way, and takes the shot.
But again on the other side of it, T'kor wouldn't exactly be thrilled about Chelsie being the renom either, so it's not like Leah would gain an ally there. At best she might gain Makensy, but that could change depending on whoever won the following HOH.

It's only a scenario, not a guarantee, nor something I want to see, but in terms of "game vibes" Chelsie is standing on a somewhat slippery slope, and should be gunning for this veto either way. If that doesn't work, then it's time to go into finesse mode, which she's shown before that she has some capability of doing.


The other big option would be T'kor.

That would be the scenario where Leah thinks she can get in with Makensy, Cam, and Chelsie for a final four.
Leah dropped T'kor's name a couple times in her conversations yesterday when considering renom options with the others, but she wasn't confident about it. Most conversations ended with "cross that bridge when we get there".
In the event of a T'kor renom, the interesting question would be whether or not Chelsie, Cam, and Makensy take the shot now, with her being the bigger target next to Rubina or Kimo. That's tricky. There's a world where even if Chelsie were to keep Rubina or Kimo next to T'kor, they still look at her differently considering how much they know T'kor has been riding for Chelsie throughout this entire game. And if Chelsie doesn't vote out T'kor, I could see Cam choosing not to either, and then Makensy falling in line.


The two low, but non-zero, probability options would be Angela and Cam.

Angela just because no one else would really be upset. And Cam because of the allure of an all-girls final 6, for which there have already been multiple on and off talks.


None of this is to take away from the option of keeping noms the same and "splitting up the trio"


Ultimately, Leah is liable to do anything. So we'll just have to see
 
O

One

Active member
Angela won the Power of Veto

Leah won the Jankie Power of Veto, but she didn't win the game needed to activate it

At the veto meeting, Angela decided to use the veto on Kimo

Leah put up T'kor as the renom. She tried to put some feelers out there about putting up Chelsie, but she decided against it, and went with the "split up the trio" option instead.
 
O

One

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For Chelsie's game, keeping Rubina over T'kor makes the game more difficult imo, and adds unnecessary uncertainty. At worst, it gives up control of the game.

Someone with the kind of loyalty that T'kor has had for Chelsie, shouldn't be let go that easy. Especially given the caliber of player T'kor has been. Not at this stage. Between her and Rubina, T'kor is the more valuable player to Chelsie's agme.

With T'kor there, considering how strong of a bond she feels to Chelsie, how strong of a bond she has with Kimo, and how much Kimo values her strategic mind, there's almost zero room for Leah or Angela to pull Kimo to their side in any capacity at all. Which means that Chelsie could be more confident in her numbers going into this next week and beyond. Which gives her leverage with a player like Makensy, who doesn't want to be on the wrong side of the numbers. With Rubina on the other hand as the tie, there's a slightly wider opening where Kimo might be more willing to accept the option of working with different people, especially if there's the promise of a "more level playing field". The kind of loyalty game that T'kor enforces wouldn't be broken completely, but it'd be weakened, which would equal more uncertainty, higher difficulty for Chelsie, because she benefits from it through T'kor. Rubina doesn't enforce that kind of gameplay, and she'd be more likely swayed. In that respect, now Chelsie might be in a position where she has to depend on Kimo in order to know what Rubina might do, rather than depending on T'kor in order to know what Kimo might do, the latter of which she could be much more confident would be to her benefit.

The second issue is that with T'kor going at this stage, Chelsie becomes the biggest final two threat remaining in the game, and that's a point that can be used against her the same way it's being used against T'kor this week. This speaks to the "level playing field" argument. Leah wanted Chelsie up as the replacement before she decided against it. Angela wants to take the shot. Makensy has talked to Leah about putting Chelsie up as a pawn. Rubina has been using the argument in her campaigning that T'kor could win the game if she gets to final two. Kimo's main tie to Chelsie is through T'kor. That leaves Cam who, up to this point hasn't won much to do anything, and whose personal strategy may not always align with Chelsie's.

It's not to say that Chelsie can't pull things together, it just adds unnecessary uncertainty at this stage, imo.


One person whose game does get a bump if T'kor goes this week is Makensy. Rather than a group of Chelsie, Cam, T'kor, and Kimo, with Makensy straggling on the side to keep with the numbers, and Leah and Angela on the outs; it'd be Chelsie and Cam on one side, Leah and Angela on the other, Makensy free to hop between the two, and Kimo and Rubina somewhere trying to figure out what's best for their game.

And while this may not have been the best move for Leah, I don't think she had any great moves to choose from that would put her in a strong position. T'kor leaving at least gives her a tiny opening, however small, to try pull Kimo, and then by association, to potentially pull Rubina. Still unlikely, but it would border on impossible with T'kor still there. Also, if she does get to the final two, having T'kor's eviction on her resume is a strong point.
 
O

One

Active member
Where did they find these houseguests?

Whatever bump Makensy might have gotten from last week's events, she gave all the way back to Chelsie. With complete control to direct the trajectory of the game in her favor... a fumble.

And credit to Chelsie for convincing Makensy on her own HOH to put her own locked-in final three ticket on the block next to her other locked-in final three ticket.
 
O

One

Active member
Chelsie won final 6 HOH and got Angela out, setting herself up for a clear path to the end.

And there will be no battle back this season, with a Sunday (not Thursday) finale.

The remaining scenarios are puncher's chance.

With different players (i.e., an entirely different season's worth of players), there might be more to worry about, but she's finessed this group well enough, and established enough trust, that she's unlikely to see much of a struggle moving toward the end. As the numbers are low, there's always a chance that something big could happen, but with this group... puncher's chance.

Flipped the house on Tucker, made the move on Quinn, flipped Makensy against Leah on what should've been a safe week for her, and won final 6, taking out Angela which should win even more favor with the jury. The game is hers to win, and she would fully deserve it. If you enjoy active, well rounded, cut throat gameplay, then she's been the player of the season without question, and with the remaining group, there's nothing any of the others can do to change that, outside of getting her out. Which again, puncher's chance.

The doomsday scenario would be that someone other than Chelsie wins final four HOH, someone other than Chelsie wins veto, and then that person decides that Chelsie is too big of a winning threat to keep. Could Makensy do something like that if she had the veto? Possibly. She'd have to think about it at least. But it would be highly unlikely for anyone else since Makensy would still be a winning threat in the house, and at this point you'd almost be alienating yourself with Cam and Makensy in the final three, if you're not careful with how you make that move

And when it comes to jury numbers, the only tricky situation she'd need to account for is that by taking Rubina or Kimo, she could potentially be handicapped by two votes (whichever one of the two is evicted, plus T'kor) and have to win 4 of the other 5 votes. Easiest win would be against Cam. And against Makensy, she'd likely be able to get T'kor, Rubina, Kimo, and Cam at the least. The facts of her gameplay are strong enough to put her over Makensy.
 
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